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April 05, 2004Variance is the @#$%&* of Poker
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"We do not what we ought, Well, my insane $3-6 winning streak finally ended on Saturday. And it didn't just tail off slowly, it came to a crashing halt, spun around and sent me spiraling into red numbers. But let's start with Friday... Friday: Business as Usual Saturday: 4 for 4 Sidebar: Warning, contains appalling consumerism I'd been reading about other bloggers buying laptops, and didn't really understand the strange logic that was involved in such a purchase. BG and Grubby recently climbed on the laptop bandwagon, although I believe Decker has been talking about it for a while, and finally took the plunge last week (did I miss anyone?). Anyway, now that the thought has poisoned my brain, I'm convinced it's the right thing to do. So rather than trying to win my way into the WPT this weekend (Hollywood Park has 3 juicy qualifiers every night this weekend), I'm putting the money towards the laptop. Sunday Bloody Sunday I planned to win back this money by winning the tourney, even if the mighty Roy Cooke was sitting right across from my virtual character. I knew my Riddler-like attire gave me the edge, and I used my wacky table image to my advantage. Roy "I never" Cooke raced out to an early lead, accumulating some chips with a great call against Chris Halverson's AK. But when I raised it up with AQs in early position, Roy fired right back from the SB with a medium size raise. I put him on a big pair, probably JJ. When the flop came Q Q rag, I debated how to suck the chips out of the guy who'd made me plenty of money with this excellent article. To my suprise, Mr. Cooke immediately went all in, and I beat him into the pot. He later revealed he had AA, and the flop was a miracle for me. I was doubled up and became the chip leader, and Roy was down to 700 chips. I did my Phil Ivey impression and stole a lot of pots and built my stack slowly. With around 7000 chips, I picked up JJ in middle position and raised it up, only to be reraised when some poor soul went all in from late position. I had enough chips and hoped he was on AK, so I reluctantly called, only to see two more jacks on the flop. Of course, the poor guy had rockets and I had dodged another bullet. You'd think cracking AA twice would put you on the right path to victory, right? But alas, I got no cards for a while, and found myself in decent chip position at the final table. I finally picked up a playable hand, AJ, in middle position, and raised 3 times the BB. Roy had built his way back up to a medium size stack (around 4K) and came over the top of me again, going all-in this time. Great. I hoped that Roy was trying to get back to his regular $80-160 game and was trying to get rid of his chips, and put him on a medium pair. There was too much money in the pot, and I felt like winning this hand would give me a good shot at the tourney. So I closed my eyes and called, hoping I at least had two overcards. It's nice to be right, as Roy showed 99, but it's not so nice when the board doesn't give you any help (and the flop came 2 3 4 just to give me some extra outs). Roy's revenge was complete, and I was crippled. I ended up pushing in my shortstack with 87s, and finished in 6th when the board didn't help. It was my best finish, and I can't find much wrong with my play. I guess I was lucky to have survived rockets twice. Stinkypants2 (a.k.a. College Boy) put on a brilliant show, eventually taking out Roy in the final heads up battle, after a shortstacked Rick Blaine valiantly tried to claw his way up to second. Check out Pauly and Stinky's blogs for a much better recap. Blue Monday 1. I raise preflop with QQ, and face a reraise from a loose player. In true Felicia style, he shows AA. -$52 So a small dent in the bankroll, but you can't win what you don't put in the pot, as the Rounder fan quoteth. I'll be back to the grind tomorrow, and days like today usually tighten up my game a bit and knock me back into my usual tight-aggressive style. The Blogger Hand History Collection I've gotten several requests for a PokerTracker review, and I'm currently working on a guide "How to Improve your Low-Limit Game Using PokerTracker". If you've got a specific question about PokerTracker, leave a comment or email me and I'll try to address it in the guide. Thanks for reading and I hope your Monday was better than mine. Posted by hdouble at April 5, 2004 10:20 PM | TrackBack Maximize your profits: learn how to use the most powerful tool in online poker. Comments
The main reason I went with a laptop was to aggregate the bits of stuff I had strung out over three or four places. Between the day job, the tiny bidness, my #1 hobby, and you know, that other dull stuff (real life) -- something important was always somewhere else. FWIW, I still run mine hooked up to an external monitor, keyboard and mouse and sound and Palm and printer. I don't think I could be a pure laptop guy. Now to get a Samba-based backup routine going, so I'm safe and protected. Any suggestions? Posted by: Scott Chaffin at April 6, 2004 06:50 AMScott, check out: http://backuppc.sourceforge.net/ I use it at home to backup things to my Linux server. Incremental backups and everything. It's pretty slick IMHO. Posted by: Chris Halverson at April 6, 2004 08:56 AMScott-- I never thought of it this way, but it makes sense laptop = aggregation Ok, now I'm definitely buying... Posted by: hdouble at April 6, 2004 09:16 AMBets of luck with your new laptop... hell sunny LA, play party poker at the friggin beach! As always a solid write-up. NL ring games are fishy, but by no means easy. I've won & lost big pots by being overly aggressive. Alas, I like to stick by a motto I coined a few years back... Sometimes the dog bites you... somedays you kick the dog. Tonight, I'm going to kick the hell outta the poker pooch. By the way, the author does not condone cruelty to animals (I know Felicia reads your blog, so I don't want her to think I am a mean dude who like to beat up on puppies) Posted by: Pauly at April 6, 2004 11:51 AMIf you are looking into dell laptops, give me an email before you buy, I have some contacts at dell that may be able to get you a coupon/discount... and always buy from the small business website on dell... Posted by: Stinkypants at April 6, 2004 12:53 PMI'm a Toshiba man, but I've told you that already. I hate Dells from long experience with them, but they were the corporate cheapies, so YMMV. One nice thing about aggregation -- your Poker Tracker DB is with you at all times. Got a long flight? Analyze. Sitting around Schtarbucksh? Analyze. It's nice...$2000 worth of nice to me. Posted by: Scott Chaffin at April 6, 2004 05:11 PMPlaying poker outside with a pack of Shermans and a bottle of Knob Creek is nice. Er, and I suppose you can take the game with you instead of sitting out when nature calls. Nice post. I'd like to see your review of PT. Posted by: Phil at April 6, 2004 05:22 PMMmmm...Knob Creek. Good stuff! Posted by: Chris Halverson at April 6, 2004 06:04 PMHey--Maybe if you had a laptop, you could come visit your sister in Chicago and be able to play poker here. I'm pretty sure we've got Knob Creek out here in the midwest... Posted by: Sarah at April 6, 2004 08:20 PMI'm finally getting back into poker (and reading poker blogs) after a 2 month hiatus. I've got 2 links for you that may help, based on the past few topics. 1) Some enterprising person has collected all of David Ross' weekly posts (except for the most recent 3) on a single website, so you don't have to use the crappy 2+2 search -- http://members.cox.net/cuff4u/david1.htm 2) When searching for new computer "stuff", check out http://www.techbargains.com. That's where I went before buying my wife's and my father-in-law's laptops. Posted by: solring at April 6, 2004 08:33 PMEnough with the Knob Creek (although it's good). America got one thing right-- bourbon. Posted by: hdouble at April 6, 2004 08:35 PMYes! Listen to your sister! Come to Chicago! I'd enjoy sitting the tables with you in Mordor ... er, that is, in Gary, Indiana ... Posted by: LordGeznikor at April 7, 2004 10:47 AMPost a comment
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